Utilize este identificador para referenciar este registo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2621
Título: Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach
Autor: Fontoura, Maria Paula
Martínez-Galán, Enrique
Proença, Isabel
Palavras-chave: European Union
CEEC
Gravity Model
Commodity Composition of Trade
Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimator
Trade Potential
Data: 2006
Editora: ISEG – Departamento de Economia
Citação: Fontoura, Maria Paula, Enrique Martínez-Galán e Isabel Proença. 2006. "Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers nº 8-2006/DE/CISEP
Relatório da Série N.º: DE Working papers;nº 8-2006/DE/CISEP
Resumo: This paper aims to evaluate the trade potential of manufactured products between countries belonging to the EU in the threshold of its Eastern enlargement. For this purpose we use a Gravity model which is estimated with a Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Method. We extend the specification of the gravity model in order to capture bilateral trade specificities between groups of countries of the enlarged EU, allowing to test the statistical significance of these inter-groups' trade potential. In addition, it includes the Commodity Composition of Trade. The estimated coefficients are used to project exports of each country. We conclude that in 2002 the CEEC as a group had exhausted their export potentialities to the enlarged EU, whereas the same does not apply to its imports from the EU members.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2621
ISSN: 0874-4548
Versão do Editor: https://aquila1.iseg.utl.pt/aquila/getFile.do?method=getFile&fileId=26444
Aparece nas colecções:DE - Documentos de trabalho / Working Papers
CISEP - Documentos de Trabalho / CISEP - Working Papers

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